Skill Rating
1597
± 290 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1470global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1597global · ± 290 uncertainty
Brier Score0.1763 scored · lower is better · limited data
Accuracy67%3 resolved
ROI+7.67RS / resolved prediction
Reputation123.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
Loading…
Correct
6IranGeopolitics
A ceasefire will be declared in the conflict involving Iran by April 30, 2026.
6commitments
omri cohen-alloro
NO✓ 0.202
Wrong
8GeopoliticsEnergy
The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.
8commitments
K
komapcA
YES✗ 0.302