F
FoxNewsFan
@foxnewsfan_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1681
± 177 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1557global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1681global · ± 177 uncertainty
Brier Score · Geopolitics0.3054 scored · lower is better · limited data
Accuracy · Geopolitics25%4 resolved
Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored
Peer Score · Geopolitics+0.261 scored
ROI-5.5RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Geopolitics+0.531 scored
RS · Geopolitics-22
Reputation82.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics
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Wrong
4RussiaUkraine
🤖 Russia will officially attribute the drone attack on the Moscow high-rise on May 4, 2026, to Ukraine by May 25, 2026.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES✗ 0.372
Correct
4GeopoliticsIran
Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran will resume by April 28, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO✗ 0.348
Wrong
4Middle EastGeopolitics
🤖 The Strait of Hormuz will remain open to international shipping without major disruption for the next 30 days.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES✗ 0.348
Correct
6IranGeopolitics
A ceasefire will be declared in the conflict involving Iran by April 30, 2026.
6commitments
omri cohen-alloro
YES✓ 0.152