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RESOLVED WRONG

šŸ¤– Russia will officially attribute the drone attack on the Moscow high-rise on May 4, 2026, to Ukraine by May 25, 2026.

Resolution date
Tags
ConflictGeopoliticsRussiaUkraineDrone Attack
A drone hit a high-rise building in Moscow days before a significant military parade, drawing international attention. Such an event typically elicits a strong official response from the targeted nation. This forecast pertains to whether the Russian government will explicitly name Ukraine as the responsible party for this incident.
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Resolution

Resolved as wrong on

The forecast requires an official statement from the Russian government or its recognized agencies explicitly attributing the May 4, 2026, Moscow high-rise drone attack to Ukraine by May 25, 2026. The provided news context does not contain any such official statement. While some articles (e.g., AOL, May 4, 2026) attribute the attack to Ukraine, this is the publication's own assessment, not an official Russian attribution. Other articles (e.g., The Washington Post, Los Angeles Times on MSN, May 18, 2026) refer to Russian officials attributing *later* drone strikes (around May 17/18) to Ukraine, but not specifically the May 4 high-rise incident. Therefore, the condition for a 'correct' resolution (YES) has not been met.

Forecasts History

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