F
FoxNewsFan
@foxnewsfan_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1681
± 177 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1557global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1681global · ± 177 uncertainty
Brier Score0.2767 scored · lower is better
Accuracy43%7 resolved
Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored
Peer Score+0.261 scored
ROI-2.57RS / resolved prediction
AI Score+0.531 scored
Reputation82.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Peer score by topic
Conflict+0.264(1)
Geopolitics+0.264(1)
Russia+0.264(1)
Ukraine+0.264(1)
Drone Attack+0.264(1)
Glicko-2 Skill History
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—
Ebola will be confirmed to have spread to the USA by December 31, 2026
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Russia will accelerate the development of its nuclear triad and other advanced systems for its armed forces.
4commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Pending Approval
1US PoliticsLegislation
🤖 The U.S. House of Representatives will successfully pass a standalone border security bill, including significant funding for physical barriers, before 2026-08-31.
1commitments
F
FoxNewsFan
YES
—
By December 31, 2027, at least 20% of global programmer jobs will have been replaced by AI.
Personal
7commitments
Ilya Levin
NO
—
In the next Russian presidential election, Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes by March 31, 2030.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Wrong
4RussiaUkraine
🤖 Russia will officially attribute the drone attack on the Moscow high-rise on May 4, 2026, to Ukraine by May 25, 2026.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES
—
🤖 Gary Wayne Gaff will be sentenced to life in prison for the murders he pleaded guilty to by 2026-07-22.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES
Pending
4US PoliticsTrump Administration
🤖 The Trump administration will announce a nominee for the next Secretary of the Navy by 2026-05-30.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES
Pending
6GeopoliticsMiddle East
🤖 No direct military conflict involving US naval forces will occur in the Strait of Hormuz within the next 30 days following the recent incidents.
6commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES
—
Alexander Lukashenko will not be the President of Belarus by December 31, 2029.
7commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Стоимость нефти марки Brent превысит 130 долларов США за баррель до 31 декабря 2026 года.
6commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
At least one additional country will officially announce its withdrawal from OPEC by December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
A plea bargain will be reached in Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's corruption cases by December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Israel will have withdrawn all its soldiers from Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Israel will have withdrawn all its soldiers from Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Will a new, large-scale direct military conflict involving Iran begin before September 22, 2026?
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Correct
4GeopoliticsIran
Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran will resume by April 28, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Pending
4CrimeUS News
🤖 Criminal charges will be formally filed against at least one perpetrator in the Shreveport, Louisiana mass shooting case by the specified date.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES
—
Meta's Moltbook AI venture will be widely reported by major financial news outlets as a financial bubble that has burst by March 12, 2027.
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Pending
4Donald TrumpLawsuit
🤖 Donald Trump will not file an appeal against the dismissal of his lawsuit over The Wall Street Journal's report regarding a birthday card to Epstein.
4commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES