DAATANDAATAN
a

andrey1bar

A

@andrey1bar

JoinedFebruary 2026
All17Geopolitics9politics6Middle East5Conflict4Sports3Technology2Chess2Business2
Skill Rating

1619

± 254 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1504global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1619global · ± 254 uncertainty
Brier Score · Geopolitics0.3031 scored · lower is better · limited data
Accuracy · Geopolitics67%3 resolved
ROI-0.67RS / resolved prediction
RS · Geopolitics-2
Reputation105.5 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics

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Created(3)Participated(9)Resolved(3)
Wrong
8GeopoliticsEnergy

The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.

8
K
komapcA
YES✗ 0.302
Correct
2ConflictGeopolitics

The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.

2
A
andrey1barA
YES
Wrong
1GeopoliticsConflict

Zero rockets will be fired from any entity towards Israeli territory by the end of March 8, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
NO