Skill Rating
1500
± 350 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1500global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1500global · ± 350 uncertainty
Brier Score0.2551 scored · lower is better · limited data
Reputation99.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
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Wrong
8GeopoliticsEnergy
The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.
8commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
The United States will deploy ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.
8commitments
Anti Spamer
NO
—
The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.
9commitments
K
komapcA
NO