DAATANDAATAN
Polina Ber
Skill Rating

1604

± 290 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1514global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1604global · ± 290 uncertainty
Reputation107.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics

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8GeopoliticsRussia

Vladimir Putin will not die by December 31, 2026.

8
Yana Elisonian
Yana Elisonian
YES
9GeopoliticsConflict

The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.

9
K
komapcA
NO
5GeopoliticsMiddle East

Lebanon and Israel will hold direct talks on permanent security arrangements before December 31, 2026.

5
K
komapcA
YES
8politicsRussia

Vladimir Putin will make fewer public appearances in the full calendar year 2026 compared to the full calendar year 2025.

8
Polina Ber
Polina Ber
YES
6TechnologyGeopolitics

Telegram will be unblocked in Russia by the end of October 2026.

6
Polina Ber
Polina Ber
YES
7GeopoliticsConflict

US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.

7
Ilya
Ilya
NO