Polina Ber
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1604
± 290 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1514global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1604global · ± 290 uncertainty
Brier Score0.1811 scored · lower is better · limited data
Reputation107.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
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Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.
Personal
6commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
The New Central Bus Station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2029.
Personal
7commitments
A
andrey1barA
NO
—
The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.
9commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.
8commitments
Avihai Zarouk
YES
—
Lebanon and Israel will hold direct talks on permanent security arrangements before December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Vladimir Putin will make fewer public appearances in the full calendar year 2026 compared to the full calendar year 2025.
8commitments
Polina Ber
YES
—
Telegram will be unblocked in Russia by the end of October 2026.
6commitments
Polina Ber
YES
Correct
4EconomyCurrencies
The Israeli Shekel will strengthen against the Chinese Yuan by March 31, 2026.
4commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.
7commitments
Ilya
NO