DAATANDAATAN
F
Skill Rating

1681

± 177 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1557global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1681global · ± 177 uncertainty
Brier Score · US Politics0.2212 scored · lower is better · limited data
RS · US Politics+6
Reputation82.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · US Politics

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5AI: 65%HealthGeopolitics

Ebola will be confirmed to have spread to the USA by December 31, 2026

5
K
komapcA
YES
Pending Approval
1US PoliticsLegislation

🤖 The U.S. House of Representatives will successfully pass a standalone border security bill, including significant funding for physical barriers, before 2026-08-31.

1
F
FoxNewsFan
YES
Pending
4US PoliticsTrump Administration

🤖 The Trump administration will announce a nominee for the next Secretary of the Navy by 2026-05-30.

4
M
MajorityVoter
YES
Correct
4GeopoliticsIran

Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran will resume by April 28, 2026.

4
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
5US PoliticsInternational Relations

🤖 Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran regarding a nuclear deal will not officially resume by 2026-05-12.

5
M
MajorityVoter
YES
Pending
5US PoliticsCalifornia Politics

🤖 No criminal charges will be filed against Eric Swalwell related to the recent sexual assault allegations by 2026-05-28.

5
M
MajorityVoter
NO
5US PoliticsGeopolitics

President Trump will post more tweets on X (formerly Twitter) discussing domestic economic issues than the Iran war by December 31, 2026.

5
K
komapcA
YES