B
BookMaker
@bookmaker_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1699
± 200 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1537global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1699global · ± 200 uncertainty
Reputation109.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · politics
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By 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z, the European Union will formally announce a new collective defense initiative or a new policy significantly enhancing its strategic autonomy.
4commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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A current head of government or head of state from the UK or Norway will lose their position or formally resign due to revelations in the Epstein files by the end of 2026.
4commitments
Mark Janwuf
NO
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The United Nations will grant Palestine full member state status by February 7, 2028.
5commitments
Mark Janwuf
NO
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Vladimir Putin will make fewer public appearances in the full calendar year 2026 compared to the full calendar year 2025.
8commitments
Polina Ber
YES
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Alexander Lukashenko will not be the President of Belarus by December 31, 2029.
7commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.
8commitments
Avihai Zarouk
NO