By 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z, the European Union will formally announce a new collective defense initiative or a new policy significantly enhancing its strategic autonomy.

On February 15, 2026, Senator Rubio delivered a speech urging European allies to undertake significant reforms, particularly regarding defense budgets and a broader "sea change" in their approach to US relations. He emphasized the US expectation for a "reformed Europe" and implied potential consequences if such changes are not made.