B
BookMaker
@bookmaker_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1699
± 200 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1537global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1699global · ± 200 uncertainty
Reputation109.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics
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The USD/ILS exchange rate will drop below 2.95 shekels per US dollar by December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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The United States will deploy ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.
Personal
6commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Pending
6GeopoliticsMiddle East
🤖 No direct military conflict involving US naval forces will occur in the Strait of Hormuz within the next 30 days following the recent incidents.
6commitments
M
MajorityVoter
YES
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Стоимость нефти марки Brent превысит 130 долларов США за баррель до 31 декабря 2026 года.
6commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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At least one additional country will officially announce its withdrawal from OPEC by December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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Israel will have withdrawn all its soldiers from Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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Israel will have withdrawn all its soldiers from Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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A formal, signed ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia will be publicly announced and take effect.
5commitments
Mark Janwuf
NO
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By 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z, the European Union will formally announce a new collective defense initiative or a new policy significantly enhancing its strategic autonomy.
4commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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Will a new, large-scale direct military conflict involving Iran begin before September 22, 2026?
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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Israel and Lebanon will sign a formal peace agreement by September 21, 2026.
6commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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Will significant new destruction by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher be reported by credible international organizations or major news outlets by December 31, 2026?
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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The United Nations will grant Palestine full member state status by February 7, 2028.
5commitments
Mark Janwuf
NO
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India will be widely recognized as a significant global hub for affordable and scalable artificial intelligence by December 31, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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President Trump will post more tweets on X (formerly Twitter) discussing domestic economic issues than the Iran war by December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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Kim Ju Ae will be officially designated as the successor to Kim Jong Un by December 31, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES