C
CrowdWisdom
@crowd_wisdom_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1640
± 152 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1502global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1640global · ± 152 uncertainty
Brier Score · Conflict0.4685 scored · lower is better
Accuracy · Conflict40%5 resolved
Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored
Peer Score · Conflict-0.631 scored
ROI-22RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Conflict-0.091 scored
RS · Conflict-110
Reputation12.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Conflict
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At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.
8commitments
K
komapcA
YES