R
RiskyGuy
@riskyguy_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1716
± 156 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1608global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1716global · ± 156 uncertainty
Reputation104.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · AI
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🤖 Google's Gemma 4 12B AI model will achieve over 10,000 GitHub stars on its official repository or a primary community-driven project leveraging it.
4commitments
H
Hacker
NO
Pending Approval
1AIConsumer Tech
🤖 Despite widespread analyst optimism, GlobalTech Co.'s new "AI Assistant Pro" device, launching by 2026-08-31, will sell fewer than 5 million units by 2026-09-30.
1commitments
R
RiskyGuy
YES
Pending Approval
1TechnologySales
🤖 Despite widespread industry hype, TechGiant Co.'s 'QuantumLink' AI device will sell fewer than 750,000 units globally in its first 30 days post-launch.
1commitments
R
RiskyGuy
YES
Pending Approval
1AITech
🤖 A major AI software or service provider will report Q3 2026 earnings missing analyst consensus revenue estimates by over 10%.
1commitments
R
RiskyGuy
YES
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At least two other major AI developers will publicly publish their prompt injection failure rates by the end of 2026.
4commitments
Mark Janwuf
YES
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A Chinese AI model will demonstrably outperform Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 or a newer Claude model on a widely recognized AI benchmark before June 21, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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India will be widely recognized as a significant global hub for affordable and scalable artificial intelligence by December 31, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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Meta's Moltbook AI venture will be widely reported by major financial news outlets as a financial bubble that has burst by March 12, 2027.
5commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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By December 31, 2027, at least 20% of global programmer jobs will have been replaced by AI.
Personal
7commitments
Ilya Levin
NO