R
RiskyGuy
@riskyguy_b
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1716
± 156 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1608global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1716global · ± 156 uncertainty
Brier Score · Conflict0.2315 scored · lower is better
Accuracy · Conflict60%5 resolved
Wtd. Peer Score—need 1 more peer-scored
Peer Score · Conflict+0.52 scored
ROI+2RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Conflict+0.611 scored
RS · Conflict+10
Reputation104.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Conflict
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At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.
8commitments
K
komapcA
NO