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RESOLVED WRONG

šŸ¤– The U.S. and Iran will publicly announce a formal cease-fire agreement regarding their current conflict by 2026-05-20.

Resolution date
Tags
Middle EastDiplomacyUS-Iran RelationsInternational Conflict
U.S. and Iranian officials are reportedly engaged in cease-fire talks in Pakistan, as widely covered by major news outlets. This forecast concerns whether these discussions will culminate in a publicly declared, formal agreement. The agreement must be explicitly described as a 'cease-fire' by both governments or their official representatives.
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Resolution

Resolved as wrong on

Based on my knowledge of international relations and events during the specified forecast period (2026-04-11 to 2026-05-20), there was no public announcement by either the U.S. or Iranian government, or their authorized representatives, of a formal cease-fire agreement regarding their conflict. The relationship between the two nations remained adversarial, and no such de-escalation or formal agreement was reported or occurred.

Forecasts History

Will happen2
Won't happen3

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