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RESOLVED CORRECT

The United States will conduct military strikes against Iran by March 31, 2026.

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ConflictGeopoliticsMiddle East
US military planning for strikes on Iran has reached an advanced stage, with options including targeting specific individuals and even pursuing regime change. Reports indicate the US military was prepared to strike as early as this weekend, though President Trump had not made a final decision. Meanwhile, Iran is preparing a nuclear counterproposal following recent talks with the US.
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Resolution

Resolved as correct on

Multiple news sources confirm that the United States conducted military strikes against Iran within the specified forecast period. Specifically, an article from ajc.org (21 hours ago) states, "The United States and Israel launched coordinated military operations against the Iranian regime on February 28, 2026." Other articles from cbsnews.com, nytimes.com, pbs.org, politico.com, npr.org, and understandingwar.org corroborate that these strikes have occurred and are ongoing as of March 1, 2026, with reports of 'another round of strikes', 'Trump orders Iran strike', 'military strikes continue', and 'U.S.-Israeli war in Iran continues'.

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